Decision Making

A practical system for making consequential choices: clarify values with OOC-EMR, frame the decision, create real options, reason under uncertainty, counter bias, choose the right speed, improve group judgment, and learn from every result.

1. 01OOC-EMR: Clarify What MattersStarting model: [Tony Robbins — Decision Maker](https://decisionmaker.tonyrobbins.com/) • Supporting sources: [Tony Robbins — Four Rules for Decision Making](https://www.tonyrobbins.com/blog/the-four-rules-for-decision-making) • [Decision Education Foundation — Clear Values](https://www.decisioneducation.org/decision-chain/clear-values) • Original prompt: [Tony Robbins — “all decision-making is value clarification”](https://www.linkedin.com/posts/officialtonyrobbins_early-on-in-my-career-i-had-one-business-activity-7459967355927044096-fHTi)Published 24 Jul 202610 sections
2. 02Frame the Decision Before Solving ItDecision-quality framework: [Decision Education Foundation — The Decision Chain](https://www.decisioneducation.org/learn/decision-chain) • Values and objectives: [Decision Education Foundation — Clear Values](https://www.decisioneducation.org/decision-chain/clear-values) • Practical decision sequence: [Tony Robbins — Decision Maker](https://decisionmaker.tonyrobbins.com/)Published 24 Jul 202610 sections
3. 03Create Real OptionsDecision-quality framework: [Decision Education Foundation — The Decision Chain](https://www.decisioneducation.org/learn/decision-chain) • Practical option prompt: [Tony Robbins — Decision Maker](https://decisionmaker.tonyrobbins.com/) • Public appraisal guidance: [UK Government — The Green Book](https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/the-green-book-appraisal-and-evaluation-in-central-government)Published 24 Jul 20269 sections
4. 04Consequences Under UncertaintyDecision-quality framework: [Decision Education Foundation — The Decision Chain](https://www.decisioneducation.org/learn/decision-chain) • Foundational research: [Tversky and Kahneman — Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases](https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17835457/) • Public appraisal guidance: [UK Government — The Green Book](https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/the-green-book-appraisal-and-evaluation-in-central-government)Published 24 Jul 20269 sections
5. 05Bias, Emotion, and DebiasingAnchoring, availability, and representativeness: [Tversky and Kahneman — Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases](https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17835457/) • Framing: [Tversky and Kahneman — The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice](https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/7455683/) • Confirmation testing: [Wason — On the Failure to Eliminate Hypotheses in a Conceptual Task](https://doi.org/10.1080/17470216008416717) • Sunk cost: [Arkes and Blumer — The Psychology of Sunk Cost](https://doi.org/10.1016/0749-5978(85)90049-4) • Research context: [Nobel Prize — Daniel Kahneman facts](https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/economic-sciences/2002/kahneman/facts/) • Practical decision guidance: [Tony Robbins — Four Rules for Decision Making](https://www.tonyrobbins.com/blog/the-four-rules-for-decision-making)Published 24 Jul 202610 sections
6. 06Reversibility and Decision SpeedOne-way and two-way doors: [Amazon — Andy Jassy on asking “why”](https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/workplace/amazon-ceo-andy-jassy-on-asking-why) • Decision-quality framework: [Decision Education Foundation — The Decision Chain](https://www.decisioneducation.org/learn/decision-chain) • Practical guidance: [Tony Robbins — Four Rules for Decision Making](https://www.tonyrobbins.com/blog/the-four-rules-for-decision-making)Published 24 Jul 20269 sections
7. 07Group Judgment and Pre-MortemsPre-mortem method: [Gary Klein — The PreMortem Method](https://www.gary-klein.com/premortem) • Decision-quality framework: [Decision Education Foundation — The Decision Chain](https://www.decisioneducation.org/learn/decision-chain) • Judgment research context: [Nobel Prize — Daniel Kahneman facts](https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/economic-sciences/2002/kahneman/facts/)Published 24 Jul 20269 sections
8. 08Decide, Act, and LearnDecision quality and outcome quality: [Decision Education Foundation — The Decision Chain](https://www.decisioneducation.org/learn/decision-chain) • Resolve and act: [Tony Robbins — Decision Maker](https://decisionmaker.tonyrobbins.com/) • Implementation intentions: [Gollwitzer — Implementation Intentions](https://doi.org/10.1037/0003-066X.54.7.493) • Forecasting and calibration: [Good Judgment — About Us](https://goodjudgment.com/about/)Published 24 Jul 202610 sections